January 2, 2008

Iowa Caucus Prediction

"Oooo, you're brave," says J.

No, just foolhardy.

"Oh, that's much better."

Anyway, it's Caucus Eve and I'm prepared to put my foot in my mouth and predict whom I think is going to do well tomorrow. As with any prediction, especially among any of the normal newspaper columnists who continually are hired and rehired even when they are continually wrong (c.f. Bill Kristol), I may be totally off here, but what the heck--it's only pixels.

Democrats

30% Obama
29% Clinton
24% Edwards
10% Richardson
4% Dodd
3% Biden
2% Kucinich
1% Gravel

Republicans

30% Huckabee
25% McCain
20% Romney
10% Paul
7% Guiliani
3% Thompson
1% Hunter

The big losers tomorrow are going to be Guiliani and Richardson, and while no one will quit after tomorrow, the results will start writing some names on the wall.

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1 Comment

You *are* brave/foolhardy!

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